Will Obama be a one-term president? ‘Yes, he might last that long,’ says Politico columnist 

Politico columnist Roger Simon isn’t mincing any words today:

Honest to goodness, the man just does not get it. He might be forced to pull a Palin and resign before his first term is over. He could go off and write his memoirs and build his presidential library. (Both would be half-size, of course.)

I am not saying Obama is not smart; he is as smart as a whip. I am just saying he does not understand what savvy first-term presidents need to understand:

You have to stay on message, follow the polls, listen to your advisers (who are writing the message and taking the polls) and realize that when it comes to doing what is right versus doing what is expedient, you do what is expedient so that you can get reelected and do what is right in the second term. If at all possible. And it will help your legacy. And not endanger the election of others in your party. And not hurt the brand. Or upset people too much.

Well, that’s a refreshing dose of candor — but it’s still regrettably tethered to the beltway conventional wisdom. There’s a large swath of thought in D.C. convinced that Obama merely has a communication problem without acknowledging that his policies and actions have been deeply unpopular, in addition to any messaging problems he’s having. (See this from CNN, as an example of what I’m talking about.) The mosque controversy makes a convenient hook for the messaging issue, but the problems go much deeper.

UPDATE — Near the end of the column, it becomes obvious that Simon is attempting to be sarcastic. Frankly, the beginning of the piece was indistinguishable from much of the usual conventional wisdom blather. So if that was a point Simon was trying to make, touche. But unfortunately he didn’t stop there — read as an exercise in sarcasm it’s actually much worse:

And there were plenty of lawmakers who said President Dwight D. Eisenhower was “disconnected from the mainstream of America” when he ordered the 101st Airborne Division to go down to Little Rock, Ark., to make sure some black kids could go to school with white kids.

Both decisions may have been “off-message,” which is about the worst sin you can commit in Washington. But what’s so wrong about being off-message if you are right about the issue?

This: An unidentified chief of staff to a “politically vulnerable House Democrat” told James Hohmann and Maggie Haberman of POLITICO that Obama’s statement “probably alienates a lot of independent voters” and “there are a lot of [Democrats] who are spooked in tough districts today” and “a lot of Republicans licking their chops right now.”

And what’s the point of doing the right thing if your party is going to lose seats because of it?

Maybe Obama is disconnected. After all, as a former professor of constitutional law, he actually knows what the Constitution says.

His opponents have no such fetters. They know what they want the Constitution to say: yes to guns, no to gay marriage and never to mosques close to hallowed ground, though churches and synagogues are OK.

Ugh. It’s not just that Simon is mocking the herd mentality of beltway pundits, but he’s saying the problem is the irrational public. Got that proles? Your opinion on constitutional matters is irrelevant, and if you don’t approve of what the president is doing you probably hate civil rights. All hail to the constitutional law professor-in-chief.

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