The math doesn't add up -- even with third party candidates in race, Reid still loses 

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., has been struggling mightily in the polls. The latest news doesn't offer him any comfort:

The latest Mason-Dixon poll for the first time measured Reid's and Lowden's support in a full general election test instead of in a head-to-head or three-way matchup to see how much of the vote the record number of Senate candidates on the Nov. 2 ballot would siphon off from the Democratic incumbent and the top GOP challenger, pollster Brad Coker said.

"The bottom line is that adding all these minor candidates won't really bleed support away exclusively from the Republican," Coker said. "They're not really bleeding much support from either candidate, Reid or Lowden, and if they do siphon off votes, it'll probably be about half and half."

According to the poll, the four nonpartisan candidates wouldn't pick up any measurable vote. Tim Fasano of the Independent American Party and "none of these candidates" would each get 3 percent, Scott Ashjian of the Tea Party of Nevada would get 2 percent, and 8 percent of voters are undecided.

Reid had been counting on the opposite effect. Remember this remark from last week?

"Do the math” Reid told the Nevada Appeal, pointing to the number of candidates in the race who could splinter the vote.

Yeah, not happening.

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Mark Hemingway

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