Republican leading in Obama birthplace 

Did you wonder why, as Mary Katherine Ham reported earlier today, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has pulled out of the May 22 special election in Hawaii 1? That’s the congressional district in which Barack Obama was born and which he carried 70%-28% in November 2008. It seems that Hawaii allows postal and absentee voting, and according to a poll by a local firm, relayed by Jim Geraghty of National Review, some 53% of respondents report that they have voted and 45% of them say they have voted for Djou, with the other vote split between Democratic state Senator Colleen Hanabusa (supported by the state Democratic establishment) and former Hawaii 2 Congressman Ed Case (who irritated the establishment by running against Senator Daniel Akaka in 2006). If that poll is right, Djou will almost certainly be the winner. Moreover, it suggests he may be able to hold the seat in November even against a single Democratic nominee.

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Michael Barone

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