Plurality of New Yorkers say Weiner should resign 

A new SurveyUSA poll taken yesterday finds that by a 46 percent to 41 percent plurality, people living in New York City say Rep. Anthony Weiner, D-NY, should resign rather than remain in office, with an additional 13 percent unsure. But the numbers in favor of resignation in Weiner's own congressional district are likely higher, because it is less heavily Democratic than the city at large.

In 2008, for instance, Obama won 76 percent of the vote in New York citywide, but only carried Weiner's district -- the 9th -- with 55 percent of the vote.

As the crosstabs of the SurveyUSA poll indicate, Republicans and independents favor resignation by a wide 55 percent to 34 percent margin, whereas Democrats prefer that he remain in office by a 45 percent to 42 percent margin. The sample size is 4 to 1 Democratic over Republican, and 3 to 1 Democratic over independent.

While we don't know for sure, these numbers suggest that if a survey were conducted with a less Democratic sample that reflected Weiner's congressional district, it would show voters supporting resignation by a wider margin.

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Philip Klein

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