Now that they passed it, will Dems survive 2010? 

Based on the House vote on health care, which seats are possible pick-ups for Republicans? One place to look would be seats in districts where Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., received more than 50 percent of the vote in the 2008 presidential election. Thirty-one Democrats came from such districts, feeling enough pressure from constituents to vote against the bill.

Sixteen Democrats, however, come from McCain districts, and still voted for the bill. They are listed below by district and last name as well as the percentage of their voters that went for McCain:

WV-01 Mollohan   57

WV-03 Rahall        56

AR-02 Snyder        54

AZ-01 Kirkpatrick 54

PA-10 Carney        54

ND-AL Pomeroy    53

SC-05 Spratt          53

AZ-05 Mitchell       52

AZ-08 Giffords       52

OH-18 Space         52

IN-08 Ellsworth      51

VA-05 Perriello      51

CO-03 Salazar       50

IN-09 Hill               50

OH-06 Wilson       50

PA-12 Murtha       50

Worth noting is the freshmen (who are both in itals and underlined), as well as those who've already finished a term (who are in itals only).

Those from pro-McCain districts who joined Republicans in voting against the bill are below:

MS-04 Taylor         67

TX-17 Edwards      67

OK-02 Boren         66

TN-04 Davis          64

AL-02 Bright          63

ID-01 Minnick        62

MS-01 Childers      62

TN-06 Gordon       62

AL-05 Griffith         61

LA-03 Melancon    61

MO-04 Skelton      61

AR-01 Berry          59

VA-09 Boucher      59

AR-04 Ross           58

MD-01 Kratovil     58

UT-02 Matheson    57

GA-08 Marshall     56

TN-08 Tanner        56

KY-06 Chandler    55

PA-04 Altmire        55

FL-02 Boyd           54

NC-07 McIntyre    52

NC-11 Shuler         52

FL-24 Kosmas       51

NY-13 McMahon  51

NY-29 Massa        51

PA-17 Holden        51

CO-04 Markey      50

MN-07 Peterson    50

NM-02 Teague      50

OH-16 Boccieri     50

Thanks to RedElephant for providing a good list of pro-McCain seats.

About The Author

J.P. Freire

Bio:
J.P. Freire is the associate editor of commentary. Previously he was the managing editor of the American Spectator. Freire was named journalist of the year for 2009 by the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC). You can follow him on Twitter here. Besides the Spectator, Freire's work has appeared in... more
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