Mass. Republican down by only nine points in Senate special election 

With the special election only a few weeks ago, a new poll by Rasmussen has Republican candidate Scott Brown down by a mere nine points in deep blue Massachussetts:

State Attorney General Martha Coakley holds a nine-point lead over her Republican rival, state Senator Scott Brown, in Massachusetts’ special U.S. Senate election to fill the seat of the late Edward M. Kennedy.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely voters in the state finds Coakley ahead of Brown 50% to 41%. One percent (1%) prefer some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided.

The special Senate election will be held on January 19 and special elections typically feature low turnout. That’s one reason the race appears to be a bit closer than might typically be expected for a Senate race in Massachusetts. Kennedy carried 69% of the vote when he was reelected in 2006.

Brown's election is still an awfully long shot, but far from impossible, especially given the low turnout in special elections. And the consequences of Brown's election -- it would kill health care reform and send a thunderous shot across the bow of moderate congressional Democrats clinging to their seats -- are so immense that the GOP would be foolish not to support Brown as much as possible.

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Mark Hemingway

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