Has Sarah Palin's moment come and gone (exhausted by over-exposure?) 

There are certain folks in our lives to whom we pay particular attention when they speak because we know they have wisdom. John Hinderaker of Powerline is one of those folks for me.

He's reached an important conclusion about former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin's presidential prospects - She doesn't have any. Says Hinderaker in a post pegged to the 59 percent unfavorability rating for Palin that turned up in the latest CNN/Opinion Research poll:

"No one with a 59 percent unfavorability rating among independents has the chance of a snowball in Hell of being elected President," Hinderaker said.

"2012 will be a vitally important election year; it is no time for a kamikaze Presidential campaign or for a cult of personality," he said.

"Republicans (and conservatives) need a candidate who has a chance to win against an incumbent who, despite everything, is not particularly unpopular and who won't be able to do much visible damage between now and then."

Hinderaker calls himself a Palin fan, and his Powerline blog, which features him and colleagues Paul Mirengof and Scott Johnson, has always been among the most thoughtful but tough blogs on the Right. So Hinderaker's conclusion regarding Palin's suitability for a 2012 White House run carries a lot of weight among folks who would be crucially important to the former Alaska governor's prospects.

My thought is that Palin's rising disapproval has less to do with her response to the Tucson Massacre and more to do with public exhaustion. Between her book, her 2010 campaign prominence, the constant nagging of those on the Left who go absolutely berserk at the mere mention of her name, the dramas of her daughter's success on "Dancing with the Stars" and the Discover Channel reality TV series, Palin has been everywhere for several months.

There is an old maxim that it doesn't matter what they say as long as they spell your name properly. But here's another maxim that particular relevance for politicos in the Media Age - Too much of a good thing becomes a bad thing when there is no escaping the good thing.

For Hinderaker's complete post, go here.

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Mark Tapscott

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