Dem-momentum? 

Politico reports that Democrats are finally seeing some things break their way:

Once-despondent Democrats now believe that they may be able to avert a total midterm wipeout, as several important states now appear to be trending in their direction or growing more competitive.

The bad news: In a sign of how hostile the election environment remains for the party, the cautious optimism is largely due to the view that the impending political hurricane could be downgraded from category 5 to category 4.

One month out from Election Day, strategists in both parties still think that Republicans will make major gains. They don’t believe the underlying factors driving the race — the sour economy and unpopularity of President Obama’s policies — can be reversed. But there are some hopeful signs, and Democrats are seizing on them.

Democratic-held Senate seats in Washington, California and Illinois that party strategists once fretted about appear to be returning to blue-state form — and, along with Delaware, the result may be to ultimately ensure that Republicans don’t seize control of the 10 seats necessary to win back the Senate.

Democrats also had their best fundraising month of the year in September, raising $16 million. Interesting developments to be sure, but polls were expected to tighten and some of the base to come home as election day nears. Again, Republicans are still set to have an awfully good election.

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Mark Hemingway

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