About that NYT poll 

Another day, another small sample size poll showing a larger Osama bump for President Obama. Yesterday, it was a 654 sample size Washington Post/Pew poll showing a 9 point bounce from an earlier 1,000 sample size Washington Post/ABC news poll. Today, it is a 532 sample size New York Times/CBS News poll showing an 11 point bounce from an earlier 1224 sample size poll.

Comparing the new WaPo and NYT polls with sample sizes half as large with their regularly scheduled monthly polls is not an apples to apples comparison. The daily Gallup and Rasmussen numbers will be the best tools to look at the size of Obama’s immediate bump. Later this month the full sample size WaPo and NYT polls will tell us if that bump has been sustained … if it even lasts the long.

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Conn Carroll

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