It’s more than two years ahead of the 2012 presidential vote, but a new Zogby International survey conducted for The O’Leary Report has found a clear majority of independents think it’s time for somebody new in the Oval office.
The Zogby survey was conducted June 25-28 with interviews of 2,061 registered voters. It has a 2.2 percent margin of error.
When asked if they think President Obama should be re-elected or is it time for somebody new in the White House, 50 percent of the respondents overall said they want somebody else as chief executive. Obama should get a second term, according to 41 percent of Zogby’s respondents.
Probably the most worrisome news in this survey is the result among independents, who voted overwhelmingly for Obama in 2008. This time around, 55 percent told Zogby they want somebody new, while only 35 percent favored another term for Obama.
Interestingly, Zogby asked his respondents whether they had to pay federal taxes last year. Among those who did, 53 percent want a new president, compared to 50 percent of those who did not have a tax liability or lacked sufficient taxable income favored a second term for Obama.
Among whites, 55 percent want a new president, compared to 37 percent of Hispanics and 28 percent of Blacks. Among self-described “Born Agains,” 75 percent want somebody new, compared to 59 percent of Protestants, 51 percent of Catholics and 24 percent of Jewish Americans.
In other results, according to O’Leary, “nearly 95% of NRA members, 89% of tea party followers and 56% of small business owners or partners say it is time for someone new in the White House. Only 4% of NRA members, 8% of tea party followers and 38% of small business owners or partners think President Obama deserves to be re-elected.”
You can view the Zogby crosstabs here.
New Gallup Poll data also finds numbers among Independents that likely will put no smiles on the faces of Obama or his White House political strategists.In a survey on voter attitudes and the 2010 congressional elections, Gallup notes today that “dissatisfaction with Obama appears to be a reason independents favor the Republican Party this year.”
Gallup said 42% of independent registered voters, on average, have since March approved of Obama’s performance as president, compared to 51% who haven’t.
“Independent voters who disapprove of Obama’s job performance say by 71% to 12% that they would vote for the Republican candidate in their district if the election were held today. In contrast, independent voters who approve of Obama favor the Democratic candidate, but by a smaller 63% to 17% margin,” Gallup added.
You can read more on the data from Gallup here.