Before his incredible gaffe on the Civil Rights Act of 1964, Republican Rand Paul had a comfortable lead over Jack Conway for Senate in Rasmussen’s survey of likely voters.
Today’s newly released poll shows Paul with a mere three-point lead. So, you might say, he’s collapsed, right? Yeah, except that this is a Daily Kos poll. The last Daily Kos poll, taken one week before the primary, also showed Paul with a three-point lead.
This poll shows no substantial change of any kind since the last one — not in Paul’s favorables, nor in those of his opponent. Paul’s unfavorables have risen six points.
I do expect Paul’s numbers to fall substantially when Rasmussen’s next survey comes out, but I’m just not sure what to think of this. Someone is very, very wrong about this race.
Rand Paul (R) 44 (42)
Jack Conway (D) 41 (39)
Paul 53/33 (56/27)
Conway 48/43 (46/44)