As of Wednesday night, Department of Elections data indicated that Chiu won 58.3 percent of absentee votes, which accounted for 63.3 percent of all votes cast. Campos, on the other hand, got 56 percent of votes in person Tuesday.
The analysis completed Thursday by David Lee, executive director of the Chinese American Voters Education Committee, also found Chiu got 72.5 percent of the vote in Chinatown, a neighborhood he represents on the board, while Campos got 66.1 percent of the vote in the Mission district, which is in his supervisorial district.
However, the Castro and upper Market were a toss-up between the two, with Campos, who represents the area, beating Chiu by only half a percentage point, or 65 votes.
The Chinese-American vote for Chiu was “more than what Campos got in the Mission, and the Castro and upper Market was kind of a battleground and Campos edged him out by half of one percent,” Lee said. “So clearly for Chiu the Chinese vote was very important.”
Lee, whose committee does not endorse candidates but mobilized the vote among Asians, also predicted that the November election will see two to three times more voters and include more moderate voters than usual.
Jim Stearns, a political consultant who formerly advised both Campos and Chiu, said Chiu’s voting strengths are moderate absentee votes and he benefited from low turnout in the election.
“They were disproportionately represented in this election,” he said. “That’s not going to happen a second time.”